LogFAQs > #945919649

LurkerFAQs, Active DB, DB1, DB2, DB3, DB4, DB5, DB6, Database 7 ( 07.18.2020-02.18.2021 ), DB8, DB9, DB10, DB11, DB12, Clear
Topic List
Page List: 1
TopicPolitics Containment Topic 329: There's No Debate
xp1337
10/16/20 9:28:59 AM
#91:


TheRock1525 posted...
You keep saying "HE SKEWED THE POLLS" but the unadjusted average in Wisconsin had Clinton with 46.4% of the vote and the "skewed" version had Clinton with... 46.4% of the vote. The issue was once again an under performance by the third party candidates and a massive amount of undecided voters (Trumps average was 40-41%).
rock as someone who has been in many arguments over how 538 works with corrik trust me this isn't going to go anywhere

538's "skews" are adjustments based on how a polling firm has historically over/underrated a party. If a firm consistently puts out results showing one party a point or two ahead of the actual results... it accounts for that. Like how we laugh at Rassmussen putting out absolutely crazy numbers that in no man's land until they hurriedly start releasing polls closer to what everyone else is saying in the last week or two so that they can try and point to those polls and claim they're a very serious pollster.

Silver isn't out there going "i think clinton should be up a point or two in this poll; just a gut feeling" lmfao.

---
xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
... Copied to Clipboard!
Topic List
Page List: 1