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Topic	Politics Containment Topic 329: There's No Debate
Corrik7 10/16/20 8:42:46 AM #70:	ChaosTonyV4 posted... Theres a whole lot wrong with the entire post, but this part is the easiest to rebut. Corrik, people wrote entire articles in 2016 saying Nate Silver was being irresponsible in giving Trump the odds he was. Literally what are you talking about You guys love to argue nonsense always. Here we go yet again. Silver's odds weren't as dismal as everyone's because he accounted for a PV/EV split which others did not and polling errors. His polling numbers were higher for Hillary due to his skews. If you remember, we very many times had a discussion about his skews and how I said his skews did not make sense a lot of the time. His skews are gone and Biden's lead is greater than Hillary's. However, the polls were deceivingly higher than for Hillary because of his skews. It is why we have articles left and right saying "no, Hillary isn't polling the same as Biden". Silver has unskewed his polls to show that difference. You act like Silver is a God, and he is the only person that exists. If his terminology and findings aren't agreed upon that you are right. Wrong. Like, you aren't superior to anyone just because you have your nose up Nate Silver's ass. The reason Iowa is more 50/50 to Silver is because he learned from 2016 it is a presidential year and down balloting will happen. That's why despite the larger spread in polling iowa he sees it as close. However, the latest presidential polling in georgia has a very slight democrat favored coin flip as well. Hence why the georgia Senate race could follow georgia on its possible flip. If georgia goes blue, so will the Senate race. That's common sense. And in the georgia Special, the democrat is out polling every single republican challenger 1 to 1, which will tighten when 1 republican exists but is a good sign for the democrat there. Like it is kind of ridiculous that you guys argue everything that you are literally arguing against yourselves here. You said har har we might get 52-53 seats. I analyzed how that is probabkt going to happen and how the Democratic Senate is basically a guarantee. And you are arguing against your own position now. --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1) <cite>Corrik7 posted [p:945918581] in Politics C... [t:79042418]...</cite> <quote>ChaosTonyV4 posted... </cite> <quote>Theres a whole lot wrong with the entire post, but this part is the easiest to rebut. Corrik, people wrote entire articles in 2016 saying Nate Silver was being irresponsible in giving Trump the odds he was. Literally what are you talking about</quote>You guys love to argue nonsense always. Here we go yet again. Silver's odds weren't as dismal as everyone's because he accounted for a PV/EV split which others did not and polling errors. His polling numbers were higher for Hillary due to his skews. If you remember, we very many times had a discussion about his skews and how I said his skews did not make sense a lot of the time. His skews are gone and Biden's lead is greater than Hillary's. However, the polls were deceivingly higher than for Hillary because of his skews. It is why we have articles left and right saying "no, Hillary isn't polling the same as Biden". Silver has unskewed his polls to show that difference. You act like Silver is a God, and he is the only person that exists. If his terminology and findings aren't agreed upon that you are right. Wrong. Like, you aren't superior to anyone just because you have your nose up Nate Silver's ass. The reason Iowa is more 50/50 to Silver is because he learned from 2016 it is a presidential year and down balloting will happen. That's why despite the larger spread in polling iowa he sees it as close. However, the latest presidential polling in georgia has a very slight democrat favored coin flip as well. Hence why the georgia Senate race could follow georgia on its possible flip. If georgia goes blue, so will the Senate race. That's common sense. And in the georgia Special, the democrat is out polling every single republican challenger 1 to 1, which will tighten when 1 republican exists but is a good sign for the democrat there. Like it is kind of ridiculous that you guys argue everything that you are literally arguing against yourselves here. You said har har we might get 52-53 seats. I analyzed how that is probabkt going to happen and how the Democratic Senate is basically a guarantee. And you are arguing against your own position now. --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1)</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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