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| Topic | Politics Containment Topic 329: There's No Debate |
| Corrik7 10/16/20 7:05:58 AM #56: | North Carolina is 66 to 34 and considered a toss up everywhere. Toss ups are polls within the margin of error. If you read my own post, I stated who is favored to win them a lot of them because it is going to be a lot of down balloting from the election. This is why you guys thought Tim Murphy would lose in 2016 in PA when I said he was a lock and acted just as superior as you are now. Election years = down ballot voting. A few not favored to win in 2016 by Nate Silver because he failed to realize this went on to win that year. Silver has changed his modeling some based on 2016. Notice how people who say Clinton had the same polling as Biden are right but wrong? Silver used to skew his polls all the time, and his Clinton skews made her lead look bigger than it really was last time. A toss up is an election within the margin of error however. You can have favored toss ups. When you start to move outside the margins of error is when you get to the safe areas on predictions. --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1) ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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