LogFAQs > #945745653

Choco posted...

>more than twice as likely as biden
>slightly favored
<_<

Yeah, 538 is trying really hard to explain their probabilities in terms a 5 year-old could understand... hence the fluffy language and cartoon furry mascot this year. They got a ton of shit from innumerate critics in 2016 and this is their attempt to correct their coverage. Instead of over-correcting the math, they've just added more uncertainty into the model and dumbed down the presentation on their webpage. If you want the adult version, you gotta listen to the 538 Model Talk podcast.

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