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Topic	Every year 100 kids die from chicken pox. So far 3 have died from Covid.
Crepes 10/03/20 5:27:14 AM #33:	CableZL posted... The case fatality rate for COVID-19 is way too high to justify a herd immunity strategy. In the US, we have 7.5 million infections with 213,000 deaths. If we extrapolate that to compare with the total US population, you end up with millions dead. The death rate has been improving as we find better treatment methods, but we still aren't at thy point where we could try to have 70% or more of the population get it without millions of people dying. how did we get chicken pox under control? Did we just let it run wild and pick up the pieces after? Im kinda torn and like others have said not nearly enough data to be sure enough to take the risk. I am curious though. if we concentrate on herd immunity within children they should reduce risk of transmission to those more vulnerable. Especially when you realise its usually grandparents who end up looking after kids when parents are at work. Having a child who has had Covid means you can potentially then have grandparents look after them again freeing parents to go back to work. This is all thought experiment stuff though. Looking at the real world at the moment in the UK uni students have gone back and theres been a massive increase in cases amongst young people. However most are quarantining in uni accommodation (to some degree of controversy I will add) so it will be interesting to see how this plays out over here. --- Praxis Makes Perfect The only intelligent tactical response to life's horror is to laugh defiantly at it. ~Soren Kierkegaard <cite>Crepes posted [p:945393430] in Every year... [t:79016304]...</cite> <quote>CableZL posted... </cite> <quote>The case fatality rate for COVID-19 is way too high to justify a herd immunity strategy. In the US, we have 7.5 million infections with 213,000 deaths. If we extrapolate that to compare with the total US population, you end up with millions dead. The death rate has been improving as we find better treatment methods, but we still aren't at thy point where we could try to have 70% or more of the population get it without millions of people dying.</quote> how did we get chicken pox under control? Did we just let it run wild and pick up the pieces after? Im kinda torn and like others have said not nearly enough data to be sure enough to take the risk. I am curious though. if we concentrate on herd immunity within children they should reduce risk of transmission to those more vulnerable. Especially when you realise its usually grandparents who end up looking after kids when parents are at work. Having a child who has had Covid means you can potentially then have grandparents look after them again freeing parents to go back to work. This is all thought experiment stuff though. Looking at the real world at the moment in the UK uni students have gone back and theres been a massive increase in cases amongst young people. However most are quarantining in uni accommodation (to some degree of controversy I will add) so it will be interesting to see how this plays out over here. --- Praxis Makes Perfect The only intelligent tactical response to life's horror is to laugh defiantly at it. ~Soren Kierkegaard</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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