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TopicCoronavirus Topic 11
Esuriat
08/18/20 4:52:25 PM
#245:


https://blogs.sciencemag.org/pipeline/archives/2020/08/18/encouraging-news-about-coronavirus-immunity

Yeah, the news on the protective quality and seroprevalence of both antibodies and memory T cells continues to be great. We pretty much have to see now if the elicited antibodies and T cells in a vaccine are of the same quality.

The declining numbers of cases that most states have seen can mean a few things. I've seen some speculation that testing numbers are declining, and they have dropped in most states as well, but the positivity rate also is showing a drop. These are also numbers that are reported by individual states and not through the new HHS system which primarily deals with hospitalization numbers. However I haven't seen anything to indicate that those are fraudulent either, at this time. Of course deaths have been at a leveled off peak now for a few weeks and we may begin seeing a decline there as well.

As far as other explanations for declining numbers of cases, you have mask mandates possibly making differences. Maybe social distancing is playing out but there hasn't been much of a change in general population mobility from June to now. But then you also have speculative reasons that can unfortunately be dangerous to claim because you don't want to give people an unwarranted sense of security. The virus is still dangerous. But an implication of the memory T cells is that the attack rate could be greater than even the antibody tests are showing and general resistance to the virus might be greater than was thought and is having a strong suppressive effect - at current mitigation levels.

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Essy
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