LogFAQs > #942787377

Can you share with me what youre reading in that graph? Cuz to me it kind of just looks like a mess. Whats the number on the y axis represent?

The y-axis represents "government response stringency," basically an attempt to try and quantify how strict lockdown policy has been. Higher values = stricter lockdown. I'm not familiar with the specifics and details of how they go about estimating it.

But the story of the graph is that it's basically wholly uncorrelated with deaths per million. Chile and Peru had strict lockdowns, but bad outcomes. Burundi and Tanzania had little lockdown, and great results. Uganda and Mozambique had strict lockdown, but good results. Sweden and Belgium had relatively unstrict lockdowns, and also bad results.

Basically, this shows that lockdown severity is not at all a good predictor of deaths, nor vice versa. If all you know about a country is that it lockdowned strictly or minimally, you wouldn't be able to predict whether they had high or low deaths per million at all, or the other way around (I give you the deaths per million and ask you to guess the lockdown policy).

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