LogFAQs > #942782300

I mean, yeah, probably. Although for the same reason as why I kind of fled from the "interim House appointments" is because methods can vary by state and you could potentially see battles between governors and state legislatures in states where there's divided government.

CO, KS, KY, LA, ME, MT, NC would have Dem Governors in Red Senate Seats up in 2020.
AL and VT would have Republican Governors in Blue Senate Seats up in 2020.

So if it were simply "Governor appoints replacement" (and it very much may not be!) that's actually a +5 net to Dems over the current status quo which would flip it anyway... I think.

Depending on how inaugurations line up, some of those governerships might be vacant as well, although I suppose that maybe the handful of governor elections that are up in 2020 might go forward for continuity of government purposes.

That being said, I would be relatively optimistic in regards to chicanery regarding temporary Senate appointments. Not because I have any faith in politicians' moral compass, but just for political reasons. There are several states listed, such as KY, KS, and MT, where playing games with the appointment would seriously hamper future election chances for the Democratic governor doing so (I think that Cooper and Edwards are term limited?), cases like VT and MA, where the State Houses would just overrule the Governor most likely, or a case like CO, where it doesn't make sense to antagonize people for a Senate Seat Dems are heavily favored to win anyway.

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Yesmar