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Topic~~ Ctes' Post-Contest Analysis (PCA) ~~
ctesjbuvf
06/03/20 3:11:30 PM
#237:


Round 2 Division 8 Day 24
Divinity: Original Sin II 31.27%
NieR: Automata 68.73%

Prediction Percentage 63.27%

After what seemed to be a very impressive first round result against Bayonetta 2, this match sounded the alarm for the chances of NieR: Automata reaching the division finals. Divinity: Original Sin II was debatably the weakest game to make the second round and NieR was expected to better than this and needed to if it wanted to beat HGSS the following round. Especially considering that being a remake now didnt seem to be a problem after all despite the contest title.

Divinity made a rally attempt during the match. Although it obviously wasnt very successful, it probably skewed the percentages a little bit. It might have bailed it out in a close match because it clearly brought some votes in, but I dont think its more than 1% or 2% today. Id imagine people stopped trying rather quickly, because it was so far behind it rightfully seemed impossible. Its still worth mentioning when discussing how big a chance NieR had in the following match.

Looking back, I suppose Divinity is exactly the type of game that we like here. Weve seen Yakuza and even Ys do surprisingly well. Heres another RPG and a very successful one on top of that. It seemed bad at the time, but I dont think NieR looks all that bad here. Its hopes of reaching round 4 was always banking on HGSS being significantly hurt either by being a remake or not being one of the first two generations despite being a remake of the second one. Divinity isnt fantastic here and it took the right opponent to win a match, but easily doubling it, especially considering the rally, was a fine result.

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