LogFAQs > #939975555

Round 2 Division 6 Day 22
Sonic Mania 64.84%
Super Meat Boy 35.16%

Prediction Percentage 48.80%

This match is one of the most hilarious of the entire contest. It was expected to be close and it then Sonic Mania makes a real attempt at the doubling. Such results happen in round 1, especially in a contest where most of the field is new, but in round 2 its a lot rarer. Sonic Mania looked pretty bad against Ys VIII in round 1. It only remained the favorite in this match because we expected Slay the Spire to be among the weakest games in the bracket and Super Meat Boy didnt look very impressive killing it. Sonic Mania was a bigger favorite before the contest begun that after round 1 though.

The match ended up being a matter of who sucked less. No one had any faith in Ys VIII, so it seemed quite believable that Sonic Mania was just bad because everything Sonic being bad these days sounded believable. It isnt exactly good, but not at all as bad as we thought for a moment. Then we had Super Meat Boy not destroying Slay the Spire as anything was supposed to. Games like VVVVVV and Binding of Isaac looks very bad after round 1, and those are indie games from around the same time as Super Meat Boy. This allowed Sonic Mania to remain the favorite despite the silly round 1 performance.

Then the match was over in a matter of seconds and two other matches today actually looked better for a very brief while. Everyone supporters Super Meat Boy looked so bad, but it really didnt seem like a bad upset pick at the time. The oracle consensus is more than 14% away from the result. The closest pick is more than 2% away and the second closest more than 4%. What a shocker this was.

It really became apparent how much weve begun to appreciate smaller RPGs. Ys, Bravely Default, Octopath Traveler. Some of those have a big developer behind them, but the point still stands. On top of that weve seen Dragon Quest and Persona looking better than ever with Xenoblade looking to be very good as well. Perhaps a time has come where were looking at different RPGs, small ones too, because were a bunch of people growing up with Final Fantasy, which is trash today. Its a shame Ys didnt draw Super Meat Boy in round 1 for one of the most hilarious results of the contest, but we still got to have this insane overperformance due to how misled we were.

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