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Topic~~ Ctes' Post-Contest Analysis (PCA) ~~
ctesjbuvf
05/29/20 10:22:49 AM
#210:


Round 2 Division 4 Day 20
Xenoblade Chronicles 73.32%
Overwatch 26.68%

Prediction Percentage 38.68%

The previous round saw Xenoblade Chronicles look absolutely incredible. However, the match likely had some unknown amount of SFF in it, so we couldnt really know for certain if it was a misleading result. Today, it proved that its on a whole new level. You can really get far in five years it would seem. Xenoblade cemented itself as a favorite to win the division today by a good amount. Overwatch is not exactly the most beloved game on the website and is probably anti-voted to some extent, but it can win against tons of games in the bracket and has some strength to its name.

Overwatch is another casual bait. Look at the prediction percentage for this match and then know that almost every guru picked it to win today. Its a very GameFAQs kind of result, we had two of those today. Despite the board knowing Xenoblade wouldnt be in trouble, every single oracle went lower than the result today. We expected Xenoblade to look really good and we really like it ourselves too, and yet it still outdid expectations by quite a bit. The consensus was below a doubling. Its incredible how far the game has become, because to bury a big name like Overwatch, even on our site, you have to be recognized yourself. I dont think Xenoblade was that yet five years ago and it definitely wasnt when it released. But through Smash exposure and Nintendo acknowledging the series in recent years, it has gathered its respect.

Xenoblade had basically nothing to worry about the coming round despite Three Houses being the pre-contest favorite to win that match. It would take some serious Nintendo hierarchy kind of thing to make it seem likely Three Houses could end on top of that match.

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