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TopicCoronavirus Topic 8
CoolCly
05/27/20 5:54:38 PM
#263:


So this is an infographic that gets updated every day for my city, Edmonton in Alberta, Canada

https://i.redd.it/7rxrbzwjk6151.png

Population of the greater Edmonton area is 1.3 million and we've only had 524 confirmed cases total, with 13 deaths. In May, we only increased cases by 34 and 1 death, so basically COVID had no impact in May.

It's well known in the city that the hospitals are pretty empty, so I don't think this is a case of the city just isn't testing or is manipulating the data in some way.

My personal experience throughout this whole thing been that people are very cautious about social distancing (people in stores maintain distance and are nervous getting close to pass eachother, and outside they will cross the street if they see me coming with my dog or whatever), and a lot of people do wear masks and gloves.

So it seems to me that the coronavirus did make it to Edmonton but basically has not spread at all in the populace due to the quick measures and people taking it really seriously, so that's really good.

I'm a bit worried though. When all the shut downs started, I made some arguments in here where I speculated if it's possible to smooth the curve TOO much too early where it doesn't start spreading enough to move through the population to utilize hospital capacity properly and begin building herd immunity. Then when restrictions lift, COVID will spread just like everywhere else and overwhelm capacity.

Funnily enough, it seems like my city is in exactly that situation. We implemented measures so well early on that basically nobody in the city has it. So if we start lifting restrictions and everybody stops taking things seriously because we are already mission accomplished, it could spike more than we can handle.

I think the best thing to hope for is that lifting restrictions is done in a gradual way that allows the virus to spread in a reasonable way but not in a giant spike

Hard to say though.... today is my first day back in the office and measures are pretty strong here... but I went into my backyard yesterday and my cousin was there after biking with 3 of his kids, a family friend and 2 of her kids, chilling in our patio furniture with my brother and cousin that I live with, and nobody seemed to be concerned about social distancing anymore....


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