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Topic~~ Ctes' Post-Contest Analysis (PCA) ~~
ctesjbuvf
05/27/20 8:21:45 AM
#184:


Round 2 Division 2 Day 18
Resident Evil 2 57.57%
DOOM 42.43%

Prediction Percentage 64.72%

This match wasnt really in doubt before the contest where all but two gurus picked Resident Evil 2 and didnt think more about it, but DOOM delivered such an insane percentage in round 1 that made people have second thoughts. Most people still went ahead with Resident Evil 2, since it also did really well in round 1, but a few people took DOOM and there were more people that considered it.

In the end we overestimated DOOM quite a bit. It turns out INSIDE was just extremely weak and from this point forward it was in clear contention for being the weakest game in the bracket, a title it eventually won, even in the adjusted x-stats. DOOM was actually doing a little bit worse than this before the Bloodborne rallies hit and boosted it. The match was never really in doubt.

Perhaps a Bethesda backlash did something here, but I find that doubtful because Fallout: New Vegas didnt look to be affected any and DOOM is also only published by them. We saw Fallout 4 get destroyed at the same time as this match, clearly thats where the damage was done. DOOM could use its name to go really high on INSIDE in round 1 because no one knows that game, but against a Resident Evil game, that would not be as helpful. DOOM mightve made for a better match elsewhere, but at least it made us doubt a match that we shouldnt have doubted by going so high in round 1.

Doom Eternal coming out right before the contest began mightve helped it a little bit, so Resident Evil 2 was looking really good here. Resident Evil 7 also looked really good from this day forward, another good thing for Resident Evil 2 supporters. It was not expected by many to have problems before the division finals before the contest and it was probably the favorite to win it at this point, at least it was after round 1. Though now Bloodborne showed itself capable of successful rallying in a match it already won, so Resident Evil 2 would need its a-game to get through then.

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