LogFAQs > #939672918

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Topic	~~ Ctes' Post-Contest Analysis (PCA) ~~
MetalmindStats 05/25/20 5:09:10 AM #160:	Some kind of nitpicky thoughts: ctesjbuvf posted... Some people were thinking Mario Kart 8 had no chance against Final Fantasy XIV next round and that this was just Uncharted 4 being trash, because the match was over right away. I don't believe anyone claimed that whatsoever. There were definitely some who thought FFXIV had a very good chance to beat MK8, but no one who thought MK8 had no chance against FFXIV. For perspective's sake, 54.44% was the highest Oracle prediction for FFXIV there. ctesjbuvf posted... Mario Kart 8s inclusion seems to show that Mario spin-offs were not counted when considering the expected series cap of two games per franchise. No, it doesn't, because GameFAQs' database lists Mario Kart as a separate series from Mario as a whole, unlike say Captain Toad. ctesjbuvf posted... We cant tell for certain, but lets compare to the games that made both the 2015 and the 2020 contests. This is inherently a fallacious comparison, because Uncharted 2 was stuck behind Undertale's warping effect on the RBY/Sonic 2 match in 2015. Thus, it's reasonable to assume it's stronger than 2015 made it look, just like Portal 2, which was also skewed by the same match. On the other side, I could claim that Uncharted 2 is clearly the strongest of its series because 36.5% on Fallout 3 (through Halo) is obviously better than 41.5% on Mario Kart 8, but I won't, because I realize that Uncharted has almost certainly fallen off since the original GotD. ctesjbuvf posted... Everyone but me claimed it would be way weaker than another entry from its series and it wasnt at all. I don't think I've seen anyone besides you claim anything about the contest strength relationship between Uncharted 2 and 4, whether during GotD 2 or at any other time. Maybe I've just missed said claims, but I feel like you're exaggerating at least a bit there. --- "I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do." azuarc won the 2020 Guru Contest because he avoided picking rashly. <cite>MetalmindStats posted [p:939672918] in ~~ Ctes' P... [t:78685615]...</cite> <quote>Some kind of nitpicky thoughts: ctesjbuvf posted... </cite> <quote>Some people were thinking Mario Kart 8 had no chance against Final Fantasy XIV next round and that this was just Uncharted 4 being trash, because the match was over right away.</quote>I don't believe anyone claimed that whatsoever. There were definitely some who thought FFXIV had a very good chance to beat MK8, but no one who thought MK8 had no chance against FFXIV. For perspective's sake, 54.44% was the highest Oracle prediction for FFXIV there. ctesjbuvf posted... </cite> <quote>Mario Kart 8s inclusion seems to show that Mario spin-offs were not counted when considering the expected series cap of two games per franchise.</quote>No, it doesn't, because GameFAQs' database lists Mario Kart as a separate series from Mario as a whole, unlike say Captain Toad. ctesjbuvf posted... </cite> <quote>We cant tell for certain, but lets compare to the games that made both the 2015 and the 2020 contests.</quote>This is inherently a fallacious comparison, because Uncharted 2 was stuck behind Undertale's warping effect on the RBY/Sonic 2 match in 2015. Thus, it's reasonable to assume it's stronger than 2015 made it look, just like Portal 2, which was also skewed by the same match. On the other side, I could claim that Uncharted 2 is clearly the strongest of its series because 36.5% on Fallout 3 (through Halo) is obviously better than 41.5% on Mario Kart 8, but I won't, because I realize that Uncharted has almost certainly fallen off since the original GotD. ctesjbuvf posted... </cite> <quote>Everyone but me claimed it would be way weaker than another entry from its series and it wasnt at all.</quote>I don't think I've seen anyone besides you claim anything about the contest strength relationship between Uncharted 2 and 4, whether during GotD 2 or at any other time. Maybe I've just missed said claims, but I feel like you're exaggerating at least a bit there. --- "I believe in a universe that doesn't care, and people who do." azuarc won the 2020 Guru Contest because he avoided picking rashly.</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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