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Topic~~ Ctes' Post-Contest Analysis (PCA) ~~
ctesjbuvf
05/24/20 11:10:49 AM
#147:


Round 1 Division 7 Day 14
The Last of Us 81.85%
Crusader Kings II 18.15%

Prediction Percentage 94.41%

The Last of Us was a very hot upset pick to win the division pre-contest. No other upset pick was taken by as many in round 4 and the division 4 favorite was taken by only 2 more. The reason for this was that The Last of Us looked straight up better than Dark Souls in 2015. Dark Souls is considered very influential, but The Last of Us also got a lot of awards and prestige back when it came out.

Dark Souls looks pretty good right off the bad, so The Last of Us had something to live up. The popular opinion is that it did not manage to do that. Its also what ended up being true. Crusader Kings II was brought up when people considered what the weakest game in the bracket might be. Its an eight year old PC exclusive strategy game that wasnt all too popular. It basically has nothing going on for it. Its the type of game that we absolutely dont care about here. Its not even a niche thing, we just straight up dont care.

That said, you could with good reason give The Last of Us the benefit of the doubt today. It doesnt really matter how much you get above 80%. Up there its way too uncertain. The Last of Us also got an opponent that it has less overlap with than Dark Souls did. It wasnt out of the question just yet. Ironically, at this point we thought it was a bad thing The Last of Us 2 had not come out yet and perhaps people were annoyed about the delay. Thats nothing compared to what was to come.

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