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Topic~~ Ctes' Post-Contest Analysis (PCA) ~~
ctesjbuvf
05/21/20 11:58:12 AM
#119:


Round 1 Division 6 Day 11
Assassin's Creed IV: Black Flag 56.44%
Sid Meier's Civilization V 43.56%

Prediction Percentage 64.34%

On paper, this really seemed like a big match of which of these things we dont care about, do we care about the least. Civilization V is nothing like what we usually enjoy here, but no one has anything against it either, similar to Age of Empires, although Civilization is probably bigger than that. We know what it is but put it against something we care about and it rolls over. Black Flag is a by genre a lot more something that we enjoy, but there are definitely people with something against it.

Civilization was also close to getting a victory in the previous Game of the Decade contest, losing just barely to Persona 3, which was pretty bad. The fifth one is generally regarded as being the best one from what I can observe, so it could be a bit better than that. Assassins Creed IV is untested, but Assassins Creed as a franchise used to be good enough but is pretty terrible today. A few days prior to this match, Assassins Creed Odyssey rolled over and died. Black Flag is generally preferred among the fanbase of the two however, so it might still have what it takes to beat a Civilization game.

The match was about as uninteresting a one can get with percentages like those. It was over almost right away. Black Flag clearly had board vote, but after that it stabilized, and the percentages were quite consistent for the reminder of the match. It appears we cared slightly more about Assassins Creed in the end, but I dont think thats really what made the difference. The prediction percentage shows that Assassins Creed was favored by almost two thirds of bracket. Thats probably for being the bigger name or maybe for being the higher seed, even though its close. If Civilization had that prediction percentage, theres a chance the result flips, at least it gets a lot closer.

The match does show Assassins Creed isnt as anti-voted as something like Dota 2, Fortnite or Call of Duty. It can still get the majority of the voters in some matches. I wonder if Odyssey would also win this just by having the Assassins Creed name. It probably still does, even if its a little closer. We dont have that many hardcore Assassins Creed fans these days, what the fanbase favorite is probably means very little. I wouldve liked for Civilization to actually get the victory, it has never had, but this was probably its best chance ever. Maybe next Game of the Decade if they make another good one and it gets the right opponent. A little fun fact to round off the match. My girlfriends father is cited in Civilization for something he first said about thirty years ago. Hes not someone you know and can easily look up, so it just appears like a random name in the game.

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Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to azuarc, the winner of the Game of the Decade II guru contest.
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