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Topic~~ Ctes' Post-Contest Analysis (PCA) ~~
ctesjbuvf
05/16/20 11:45:36 AM
#52:


Round 1 Division 2 Day 4
Bloodborne 80.53%
Call of Duty: Black Ops 19.47%

Prediction Percentage 77.04%

In a division full of huge blowouts, Bloodborne sought out to overperform the most. It fell just short of DOOM, but man does it look good here. Theres a lot to be said about Call of Duty these days (and Ill get there), but its hard to think this would be the same Bloodborne as five years ago. Unlike a good bunch of the other +80% winners this so far, Bloodborne was not against a no name. Every single person voting know what Call of Duty is. Its the first sign of the strength the FromSoftware games had achieved. Sekiro did not exactly look all too good at first, but Bloodborne went out the gates clearly wanting to bath in the first half of its name. Whether it was Souldborne generally rising or simply the contest title helping out here was not yet certain, but if you picked Bloodborne to round 3 as one of your risks, then what a happy day this must be.

Not a single person in the oracle expected this big a blowout. The closest was still more than 3% off. I was in fourth being 7% off. Thats very telling. I had not expected it would be this much better than last time, but I did go high because I absolutely expected Call of Duty to be this bad. The huge result is undoubtfully a combination of one being better than expected and the other one being worse.

I expected and had validated that Call of Duty has fallen considerably more than we already knew. Lets recap for a bit. Call of Duty has won a Game of the Year award here in the past back in 2009. It looked good in Best Game Ever II and Game of the Decade I in 2009 and 2010 respectively. Fast forward five years and Call of Duty had been met with the criticism of favoring quantity over quality when making games. They werent as great as Modern Warfare. Black Ops is probably among the least disliked, but this caused a backlash on the franchise as a whole. I dont blame you if you cant remember Call of Duty 4: Modern Warfare actually made it into the 2015 contest, but it did. It was a #14 seed. Im sure you remember Super Metroid that contest. Well, CoD4 was the game that Super Metroid destroyed in round 1 by breaking 80%.

I expected this trend to have continued. It would decline further. Not as much as it did between our previous two games contests, but still decline. It wasnt facing as strong an opponent this time, but it also wasnt as strong a Call of Duty game. I expected the opponent to matter more though, because Call of Duty will get anti-voted to some extend no matter which entry it is. Well, I had the right idea, but I underestimated Bloodborne a bit. Back then I wasnt sure if I just overestimated Call of Duty despite expecting it to be worse than most, but on this side of the contest, I can see that I had underestimated Bloodborne a bit.

At this point, it became clear that wed see a lot of blowouts this contest. Something we had almost none of last character battle. Round 1 had a lot of fodder due to the contest having a series cap and only recent games. From this day forward it was time to expect them more than we had done, even if this division had the most. Division 2 had a very boring round 1 with the best losing game in terms of percentage only barely breaking 40%, but round 2 was exciting. Wed have four matches that seemingly could go either way. I know some people thought some of the matches were obvious, but all of them had people on both sides. Thats quite rare!

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Guinness Book of World Records is the name of the diary that belongs to azuarc, the winner of the Game of the Decade II guru contest.
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