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Topic~~ Ctes' Post-Contest Analysis (PCA) ~~
ctesjbuvf
05/15/20 4:24:54 PM
#42:


Round 1 Division 2 Day 3
Fallout 4 71.72%
VVVVVV 28.28%

Prediction Percentage 88.11%

This match is hilarious because it got to fool us twice. Wed just seen Hollow Knight and Bastion look impressive and for some reason that made us fear every indie game, not just conclude that they potentially can be strong. We also saw Bloodstained look pretty great at the same time as this match. I dont think anybody expected VVVVVV to win here, since it was not expected to be close before the contest. People did expect a much lower performance though, so Fallout 4 overperformed a solid amount relative to oracle expectations.

The best part of that is that Fallout 4 went into the next round with a chance to win. At least some thought it had that. Even if that match was decided instantly, we had some excitement when the poll opened. The truth is of course that VVVVVV is just not very great, at all. Theres not much point in seeing it back another time, unfortunately. This ends up being a really bad performance.

This match also hid away any Bethesda backlash that people were expecting, because the company really hasnt got their stuff together for a while, Fallout 76 being by far the worst offender, but Fallout 4 also could not reach previous heights at all. At this point, it did not seem like such a thing existed, but itd be brought up again later in the contest.

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