LogFAQs > #936588695

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Topic	Coronavirus Episode 6: Return of the Jedi
Corrik7 04/01/20 10:41:18 AM #75:	charmander6000 posted... I'm not sure what the hospital capacity for the United States is, but assuming each 1 million person wave lasts a month (waves typically last longer than that) it would take 33 years to have everyone immune, assuming back to back waves and no births/deaths over that time. By that time the virus will have likely mutated. Of course you don't need a 100% immunity rate, but typically for herd immunity you want 95%. Would spread less each ensuing time due to more immune. Thus, it makes lockdowns less necessary as time goes on as it doesn't overwhelm hospitals due to not spiking greatly. --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1) <cite>Corrik7 posted [p:936588695] in Coronaviru... [t:78523738]...</cite> <quote>charmander6000 posted... </cite> <quote>I'm not sure what the hospital capacity for the United States is, but assuming each 1 million person wave lasts a month (waves typically last longer than that) it would take 33 years to have everyone immune, assuming back to back waves and no births/deaths over that time. By that time the virus will have likely mutated. Of course you don't need a 100% immunity rate, but typically for herd immunity you want 95%.</quote>Would spread less each ensuing time due to more immune. Thus, it makes lockdowns less necessary as time goes on as it doesn't overwhelm hospitals due to not spiking greatly. --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1)</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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