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TopicTsunami's Post-Contest Analysis (should not need a second topic)
TsunamiXXVIII
03/22/20 6:15:12 PM
#62:


No, "Worst" contests are a bad idea.

And I'm not sure if that particular example works, because Animal Crossing isn't really about the other characters for the most part. It's another one of those games with a player avatar, and player avatars are, for the most part, not going to do well. It's not impossible--Commander Shepard is a customizable character and they were able to become a midcarder for a time, but even they seem to have faded. Maybe. Okay, now it's time to do a character analysis:

2008: Finished in 4th place in R1 against Sonic, Sandbag, and Magus. The margin looks bad, but a Noble Niner, a proven midcarder (albeit one with a reputation for choking), and a joke entrant are tough competition when you've only had one game so far. This isn't a horrible outing.
2010: Breaks 75% against fodder in R1 before a 39-61 loss against Pikachu. Mass Effect 2 was already out by this point, and Shepard is clearly a midcarder here--Pikachu was top ten in the raw X-Stats in 2010, and while his raw number is almost certainly inflated because he got a HGSS sprite vs. Solid Shit, it was pretty clear that, yes, Pikachu was already among the 10 strongest non-NNers by 2010. You could probably argue that Pikachu hasn't had a single bad result since returning from hiatus in 2007, and you certainly can't say he's had a bad match since 2008 with the possible exception of letting Mewtwo edge him out for fifth place in 2013.
2013: Cruises to a fairly easy round 1 victory, though their failure to double up second place shows that even fodder Nintendo is still never going to completely fold to something non-Nintendo. Pulls off an impressive win in Round 2 over Aerith, the first time that Shepard went beyond just "looking like a midcarder in a win over fodder or a loss to a higher midcarder" and actually beat a midcarder. Round 3, uh...Shepard was, as I mentioned above, the poor unfortunate soul to draw the spot of "also technically present in the Link-Draven duel."
2018: By raw results alone, Shepard's path went exactly as expected: beat K. Rool in R1 and lose to Ryu in R2. However, only winning with 51.23% against the former and narrowly avoiding the doubling against the latter is...a bit of a disappointment. This was Shepard's worst contest since 2008 at the very least, if not the worst ever.

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