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Topic	Coronavirus Topic 4: Oblivion
LordoftheMorons 03/22/20 6:38:52 AM #279:	Wanglicious posted... there's just no way for any institution to be prepared for this. Not quite; that would be true with no severe mitigation efforts, but we are using those in several states now. I'm fairly confident these lockdowns should bring R0 below 1 (China's ultra-extreme lockdown looks like it brought it down to a little over 0.3, so we just need to be like a third as effective as them), in which case there will be some peak, and if we had started this drastic intervention earlier or prepped extra medical equipment the system may have been able to handle it. It looks quite likely that at least some of them are gonna be overloaded now, though. --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge! <cite>LordoftheMorons posted [p:936033864] in Coronaviru... [t:78483601]...</cite> <quote>Wanglicious posted... </cite> <quote>there's just no way for any institution to be prepared for this.</quote>Not quite; that would be true with no severe mitigation efforts, but we are using those in several states now. I'm fairly confident these lockdowns should bring R0 below 1 (China's ultra-extreme lockdown looks like it brought it down to a little over 0.3, so we just need to be like a third as effective as them), in which case there will be some peak, and if we had started this drastic intervention earlier or prepped extra medical equipment the system may have been able to handle it. It looks quite likely that at least some of them are gonna be overloaded now, though. --- Congrats to Advokaiser for winning the CBX Guru Challenge!</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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