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Topic	UK expecting as many as 250,000 deaths due to virus.
wolfy42 03/20/20 1:16:09 PM #47:	GEKGanon posted... Most people aren't going to get the virus, and most people that do get it are going to get a very mild case. China has A BILLION people. B-b-b-b-BILLION. With a B. They reported less than .1% of their population getting it, let along dying from it. Granted, they took very extreme measures, but still, these intensely high projections of death seem unhinged from reality. You might think your reasuring people, but your not. You are 100% correct on the number of people in china who got the virus, it's less then 100k, out of a billion people. That is less than .1% alright. Except we actually know how easy it is for the virus to spread, and unless we take extreme measure like they did in China (which the are starting to do in some places), it will probably spread and hit most people. Meanwhile of the number of people who contracted it in China between 4 and 5% died from it. That number is almost DOUBLE in Italy though, and it's projected that if we don't space out how many people get seriously ill in the US, it could be far worse here. Most people in the know, realize they are not actually trying to prevent most americans from getting the virus, they are trying to space out how many get it at once, so our medical system can handle the load. If 40-70% of the US gets it within a month, it's going to be REALLY bad, and make Italy look good. If they can keep people in isolation, and then just have stages of people who get it, say 10-20% of the population per month, our medical system will handle the load much better and there will be far fewer deaths. That is what all this is really about, those who think they can just stay in isolation until this is gone, are in for a shock, it's not going to go away....but hopefully if you don't get it for a month or two, you will just be a small part of Americans who get it at that time, and if you do get seriously ill, our medical system will be prepared to handle it. --- Agatha "Your naked and they are nuns, it's not your eyes they're not looking at." Glowing Elephant "Stonehedge was a sex thing." <cite>wolfy42 posted [p:935948491] in UK expecti... [t:78479177]...</cite> <quote>GEKGanon posted... </cite> <quote>Most people aren't going to get the virus, and most people that do get it are going to get a very mild case. China has A BILLION people. B-b-b-b-BILLION. With a B. They reported less than .1% of their population getting it, let along dying from it. Granted, they took very extreme measures, but still, these intensely high projections of death seem unhinged from reality.</quote> You might think your reasuring people, but your not. You are 100% correct on the number of people in china who got the virus, it's less then 100k, out of a billion people. That is less than .1% alright. Except we actually know how easy it is for the virus to spread, and unless we take extreme measure like they did in China (which the are starting to do in some places), it will probably spread and hit most people. Meanwhile of the number of people who contracted it in China between 4 and 5% died from it. That number is almost DOUBLE in Italy though, and it's projected that if we don't space out how many people get seriously ill in the US, it could be far worse here. Most people in the know, realize they are not actually trying to prevent most americans from getting the virus, they are trying to space out how many get it at once, so our medical system can handle the load. If 40-70% of the US gets it within a month, it's going to be REALLY bad, and make Italy look good. If they can keep people in isolation, and then just have stages of people who get it, say 10-20% of the population per month, our medical system will handle the load much better and there will be far fewer deaths. That is what all this is really about, those who think they can just stay in isolation until this is gone, are in for a shock, it's not going to go away....but hopefully if you don't get it for a month or two, you will just be a small part of Americans who get it at that time, and if you do get seriously ill, our medical system will be prepared to handle it. --- Agatha "Your naked and they are nuns, it's not your eyes they're not looking at." Glowing Elephant "Stonehedge was a sex thing."</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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