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TopicNevada Caucus Thread
madadude
02/22/20 5:22:04 PM
#11:


Definitely, but it also helps that Nevada is a state with a very mixed population and he has been the only candidate actually caring to do bilingual campaigning. His Hispanic support is extremely high compared to the rest, and even among white voters, they aren't the moderate midwestern/northeast types that Pete and Klobuchar appeal to that helped them in Iowa and New Hampshire (well a lot of midwestern types in Clark County I suppose, but still overall its definitely a very different populace). Plus Bloomberg is not even on the caucus ballot, so there is one less major contender to compete here.

If Sanders ends up with more than 45% of the vote though that will be especially telling, showing he can outperform the projections here and that his ceiling isn't as low as many have been thinking. Though really I am more interested in South Carolina later this week, because Biden still has the majority of Black voters support which will help him out a ton in SC where they make up the majority of democrats. But Sanders support among Black voters has been increasing in the past few weeks, and the current forecasts tend to have Sanders and Biden neck and neck there.

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