LogFAQs > #934387223

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Topic	Politics Containment Topic 268: Hope & Change
Corrik7 02/14/20 6:49:58 PM #255:	TheRock1525 posted... So when a predictive model said the Atlanta Falcons had a 99% chance of winning when they went up 28-3 and ultimately lost, does that mean the model was broken? Yes, it failed to account for the fact that Shanahan is a moron. But, no, that model is predicated on a ton of similar scenarios (though you could argue it could have been altered some with some information they couldn't have quantified in some way). There is no similar scenario to the presidency. --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1) <cite>Corrik7 posted [p:934387223] in Politics C... [t:78403764]...</cite> <quote>TheRock1525 posted... </cite> <quote>So when a predictive model said the Atlanta Falcons had a 99% chance of winning when they went up 28-3 and ultimately lost, does that mean the model was broken?</quote>Yes, it failed to account for the fact that Shanahan is a moron. But, no, that model is predicated on a ton of similar scenarios (though you could argue it could have been altered some with some information they couldn't have quantified in some way). There is no similar scenario to the presidency. --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1)</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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