LogFAQs > #934386827

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Topic	Politics Containment Topic 268: Hope & Change
Corrik7 02/14/20 6:39:55 PM #243:	Jakyl25 posted... Why do you believe this? Because the 1% outcome is basically a sign your model was wrong and that you predicted it so wrong that a very insignificantly possible outcome happened. Like, for example, if he says yadda yadda Bernie will win California. 99.99% Bernie. .01% Trump. Then Trump wins. I don't think the result should be to say "well that only happens one time in ten thousand". It should be "how did I analyze this so wrong to get this so wrong". --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1) <cite>Corrik7 posted [p:934386827] in Politics C... [t:78403764]...</cite> <quote>Jakyl25 posted... </cite> <quote>Why do you believe this?</quote>Because the 1% outcome is basically a sign your model was wrong and that you predicted it so wrong that a very insignificantly possible outcome happened. Like, for example, if he says yadda yadda Bernie will win California. 99.99% Bernie. .01% Trump. Then Trump wins. I don't think the result should be to say "well that only happens one time in ten thousand". It should be "how did I analyze this so wrong to get this so wrong". --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1)</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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