LogFAQs > #934386117

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Topic	Politics Containment Topic 268: Hope & Change
Corrik7 02/14/20 6:22:47 PM #232:	LordoftheMorons posted... No, if he claims 100 races are 70/30, he should be judged on whether the 70 candidates won roughly 70 of those races. If they won 95 or 50 of them, his model was likely wrong. They all have different moving parts. Sometimes without even polling. His model is based on historic polling, current polling, historic population, and historic voting trends basically. Also, this doesn't even apply to the presidency. There is exactly one election. Every 4 years the same model is not going to apply directly. --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1) <cite>Corrik7 posted [p:934386117] in Politics C... [t:78403764]...</cite> <quote>LordoftheMorons posted... </cite> <quote>No, if he claims 100 races are 70/30, he should be judged on whether the 70 candidates won roughly 70 of those races. If they won 95 or 50 of them, his model was likely wrong.</quote>They all have different moving parts. Sometimes without even polling. His model is based on historic polling, current polling, historic population, and historic voting trends basically. Also, this doesn't even apply to the presidency. There is exactly one election. Every 4 years the same model is not going to apply directly. --- Xbox Live User Name - Corrik Currently playing: Spider-Man (PS4), Quantum Break (X1)</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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