LogFAQs > #934385017

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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 268: Hope & Change
Corrik7
02/14/20 5:56:56 PM
#214:


LordoftheMorons posted...
Interesting:

https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1228449705224482817?s=21

This is a thing that makes sense but has adverse effects because the 538 model feeds back into influencing actual opinion at this point. (Not sure how to address this, but its a real problem; in a much bigger and less subtle example, people didnt understand in 2016 that things with a 30% chance of happening often happen, which could very well have depressed turnout from lukewarm potential Clinton voters who thought she was guaranteed to win).
Biden has a 20% chance of dropping out before SC? What? Lol

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