LogFAQs > #933659214

incoming gacha rant

So, I just looked up some mechanics info and did some quick calculator math and I wasn't too thrilled with the result!

damn gachas

Okay, so like I was saying, I just started like a week ago. I soon discovered there's a Kara no Kyoukai event planned for around Valentine's Day. This got my attention because I really loved KnK and this event would let me, gacha permitting, some KnK characters and that would make me very happy. Now a quick rundown of some of this stuff:

To have a chance at getting any of them I'd have to roll 3 "Saint Quartz" for 1 chance. So naturally my objective is to obtain as many of these as I can as quickly as I can. You can buy them with real money of course, but I'm not about that life. Getting them for free is... a bit more limited. Thankfully, progressing through the story gets you a fair amount of them. You also get some for logging in enough days in a row (roughly the equivalent of 6 per week). But that's moooostly it.

And I've progressed far enough in the story where it's getting prohibitively more difficult to keep pushing through on this timetable (short version: leveling is pretty slow and ultimately, in a sense, tied to real time.) Worst comes to worst, there's a thing that lets you "borrow" another player's unit to join your team and this is exactly as OP as it sounds. Because I'm neurotic I've tended to avoid this when I can instead use a Story Guest NPC in their place. I suppose if I get desperate enough I can break this rule but yeah.

Anyway, back to the math section of this discussion. The KnK characters. I have two main targets: Fujino and Shiki (Saber). If I am interpreting this correctly the odds of getting them per pull is 1.5% and 0.8% respectively. Which is... less than ideal. I am, atm, sitting on 175 Saint Quartz (+33 more effectively in what are called Summon Tickets.) We're about 3 weeks out from this event so let's tack on another 21 for saying I log-in once a day because that's fairly trivial to do. That would put my total at 237.

That puts my odds of obtaining Fujino at ~70% and Shiki at ~47% if I blew every last Saint Quartz I had on this - which btw I am 100% willing to do I mean hell, I only started a week ago what the hell - I would very grudgingly accept just Fujino as a success but damn if I haven't played enough Fire Emblem to be sweating like hell at a 30% fail rate.

Now, in all likelihood my total Saint Quartz count will be a bit higher than that projected 237 because there's still some stuff I can do even outside the story (and as time goes by maybe I can power up my team enough to keep going) and hell there was a day where the game just dropped 30 on me for a reason I didn't fully understand so if it gives me another such gift we're in business but man the probability graph on this is not great! If we assume I somehow get up to 300 Quartz that only ups my odds to 78%/55%.

what is this hell i have entered

tl;dr: everyone should get hype for my LIVE attempt to overcome the gacha rng around like 2/15.

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