LogFAQs > #933199492

Well, yeah, at 19-34 you go for 2. I'm not so sure at 13-34 though.

Edit: That said, if there's an analytics argument saying you go for 2 there I'll retract my objection. I think I'd still probably disagree personally but I haven't gamed it out that much obviously. In my mind, at 13-34 you're facing a deficit of 21. No matter what you do it's a 3-possession game. The only benefit to making it 19 over 20 that I see is the FG argument. But I'm also working under the assumption that looking at the game so far you're probably giving up another scoring drive and for the purposes of assuming you have a shot it has to be a FG in which case if you fail the conversion the FG puts you at 24 and 3 2-pt conversions with no margin for error is an awful spot to be. Obviously 23 is bad too but you can pass on one of those attempts and hope to maintain a bit more game pressure on the 49ers.

I assume the analytics argument is more along the lines of "you need those conversions at some point so try early and figure out the situation asap" but I wouldn't discount the value of game pressure and keeping that info hidden from the opponent a bit longer.

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