LogFAQs > #930064640

And I had these saved in a word doc, but I forgot to post it. Some of these don't apply now as said teams are in the playoffs, but whatever.

Teams Most Likely to Lose Division Lead as of Week 12

1. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens defense is just way, way off this season. After 11 games, it is rated 23rd, and among the eight key defensive metrics, they are only first in their division in one of them (FRs). While Doug Martin is coming off of a strong performance, he has disappeared for long stretches this season. He and QB Ben Roethlisberger seldom have great performances in the same game, and that makes it hard for me to believe in them offensively if they are co-dependent on one guy in each game.

Supplanting Team: Cincinnati Bengals

More on why I am picking them over the Steelers later, but the Jekyll and Hyde Bengals don't have strong peripherals. The Bengals could lose their final four games and I wouldn't be surprised. However, they've shown across this season that they can be the most dominating team in the AFC North, and that's more than than I can about the Ravens or Steelers.

2. Toronto Wildcats

The Wildcats don't have many weaknesses statistically, but they don't really have any strengths either. As one of the healthier teams in the league, that calls into question of their ceiling. With two much stronger and talented teams at their heels, I just believe in their competition more.

Supplanting Team: St. Louis Rams

I have talked about how absurdly unlucky the Rams were at the over the first half of the season despite statistically being an questionable Top 10 team. At 5-6 now, they are just one game back in the division and are on absolute fire with four straight convincing wins. Given the huge hole they dug themselves from, a first-round bye is out of the question, but the NFC West is certainly within their grasp. If that HB corps finds any sort of stability, they could honestly be a SB contender (as long as they don't have to face the Cowboys along the way).

Wild Card Team Most Likely to Lose Spot as of Week 12

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Packers have too big of a lead, and the Raiders I obviously am a big believer in, so it came down to the Pumpkins and Steelers. Both have been inconsistent, but only one is kind of a mess right now, and that is the Steelers. They have virtually no offensive identity or playmakers. They have scored a total of 69 points in their past six games and have gone 2-4 during that span. Defensively, they are fine, but they need to be elite in order to carry this pedestrian offense, and that just hasn't been the case. They don't have the hardest schedule remaining, but three are on the road where they have gone 1-4 this season. With so many AFC teams in the playoff hunt, I just think they are primed to let it all slip away.

Supplanting Team: New England Patriots

The Pats were my dark, dark horse AFC candidate before the season began because if they somehow found a way to be about .500 at the midway mark, their second half schedule was beyond favorable. Now that schedule analysis, that isn't quite the case now as the Bengals are doing much better than expected, but in place, they are getting a Dolphins team in a bit of an offensive rut right now and might still be down three OL starters (and possibly more depending on Week 13) when they play. Given how hot they have been and their defense landing in the Top 10, the Pats might even be in play for the AFC East believe or not, but I'm starting small with them.
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KCF can't actually be a real person but he is - greengravy
If you smell what the rock is cooking he's cooking crap - ertyu