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TopicTsunami's Post-Contest Analysis
TsunamiXXVIII
01/07/19 6:42:55 PM
#59:


Match 71: Yoshi vs. Velvet Crowe

Yoshi 21148
Velvet 8796

Yoshi is never going to be an elite, but he's never going to be weak, either. Just look at 2010, when he had the misfortune of running into a rally entry after it had already taken out a Noble Niner. Normally, once that happens, there's no hope for anything stopping it. Now, that happened to be the one rally entry that was stopped after it had done some damage, but nevertheless, Yoshi managed to stand up to Missingno like a champ, and it got him something like #9 in the raw X-stats.

Unfortunately for him, not even those numbers would give him a chance next round, because Pikachu was #6 in the raw X-Stats that year.

Match 72: Pikachu vs. Kratos

Pikachu 18987
Kratos 10957

Why does this match feel so familiar?

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/3809-heart-division-round-2-charizard-vs-kratos

Ah, that's why. Same seedings and everything. It's kind of depressing to see how far our vote totals have fallen since then, and even more depressing when you remember that the current vote totals are inflated by the registered bonus...but it should not be overlooked that, admittedly only thanks to the registered bonus, Pikachu has a greater margin of victory than Charizard did. And Kratos has had a recent game, so that may actually be meaningful.

This was the second time in as many rounds that Pikachu's percentage was lower than that of his next opponent, and the second time that hardly anyone expected that to mean anything because Pikachu clearly had a stronger opponent.

Match 73: Sora vs. Pokmon Trainer Red

Sora 15212
Red 15772

This was another match where the registered and unregistered voters went in different directions, but Red would've still narrowly won without the registered vote bonus. Very narrowly.

Sora 10508
Red 10566

Yeah that's narrow. Still, this wasn't exactly a wide margin, either.

Sora was the Guru favorite to win this division, which seems wrong to me. Though there weren't really any proven winners in the group. Nearly half the division had been to Round 3 of a contest at least once prior to this year.

...Huh. Sora's record is better than I thought it was. He's never been to Round 4, but this is the earliest he's exited since 2003, his first year in the contest. It's been Round 3 exits ever since--and for once, I don't have to say "not including Rivalry Rumble" because he and Riku made it to Round 3 in that as well. Nearly upset Squall/Seifer, too; it's the closest Sora's ever come to Squall (though they've never met in a true 1v1, Sora having advanced in second place behind Squall in Round 2 of both fourway contests to allow for four total matches in those two years.) If Bacon ever decides to do another gimmick contest like that one, Sora might actually win in a couples contest; I'm almost certain that Rinoa would hold Squall back even more than Seifer and Kairi actually reached Round 2 in the Female bracket, and not by beating some other fodder that only made the bracket because of the gender segregation. She beat Claire Redfield, who regularly makes the bracket when it's not gender-balanced and made it to Round 2 this year.

Red has quietly amassed a rather impressive resume himself. He's never lost in Round 1 and it usually takes nothing short of a Noble Niner or the equivalent thereof (yes, I'm still sticking with the X Mega Man theory) to finally take him out. Of course, quietly is the only way Red knows how to do anything :)
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