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Topic	Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 1322
xp1337 12/12/18 11:41:39 PM #154:	ALAKA posted... xp1337 posted... It's the Samus/Snake match that ultimately kind of messes everything up. Is it possible this match result is so out of whack because of bracket voting, Maybe it was a lot more comforting to people to see Samus obviously going to lose to Mario the next round then risk a Snake/Mario clash. Not really. If you extrapolate through Tifa like I mentioned, you ultimately end up with Samus being expected to get approximately 51% against Snake. ...Instead she ended up with 56.5%. It's just not realistic that bracket voting or strategic voting could account for that IMO. I'd be more willing to chalk up the Samus/Snake match as an outlier if you truly wanted to just explain it away. I'd be willing to believe a slight Zelda bandwagon coupled with a Samus overperformance/Snake underperformance in that match I think. Though KP is much more aware of the problems this would cause in Zelda's division so perhaps this doesn't check out as well as I might hope. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? <cite>xp1337 posted [p:914036210] in Contest St... [t:77296437]...</cite> <quote><cite>ALAKA posted...</cite> <quote><cite>xp1337 posted...</cite> <quote> It's the Samus/Snake match that ultimately kind of messes everything up. </quote> Is it possible this match result is so out of whack because of bracket voting, Maybe it was a lot more comforting to people to see Samus obviously going to lose to Mario the next round then risk a Snake/Mario clash.</quote> Not really. If you extrapolate through Tifa like I mentioned, you ultimately end up with Samus being expected to get approximately 51% against Snake. ...Instead she ended up with 56.5%. It's just not realistic that bracket voting or strategic voting could account for that IMO. I'd be more willing to chalk up the Samus/Snake match as an outlier if you truly wanted to just explain it away. I'd be willing to believe a slight Zelda bandwagon coupled with a Samus overperformance/Snake underperformance in that match I think. Though KP is much more aware of the problems this would cause in Zelda's division so perhaps this doesn't check out as well as I might hope. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?</quote> ... Copied to Clipboard!
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