LogFAQs > #910864648

Lopen's Analysisx4

Zero v Primrose
Not too much to talk about here other than placing how far above 75% Zero goes. I'm thinking not much. I'm expecting a slight Mega Man downturn and Octopath seems like the type of game GameFAQs would like and I noticed some talk about it when it came out, so she'll probably be around Neku's level, maybe a bit weaker. I expect Zero to be weaker than Ganondorf this year. So yeah probably slightly better than what Neku did overall.

Zero with 77.04%

Zidane v Knuckles
Kind of a coinflip match. I like (well, don't like, go Knuckles!) Zidane to win. Vivi looked like a powerhouse and I've always felt Zidane was probably a bit underrated on these. The times of yore when Knuckles beat Magus are long ago-- I don't see Sonic stock as going anywhere but down over the past what, 13 years. I think that's the last time Knux did anything relevant in one of these.

Zidane with 54.05%

Noctis v Master Hand
I could see this going 60-40 in either direction, but my gut is that Noctis takes this fairly easily. I feel like Master Hand in 2005 was benefiting from the inanimate object vote which has been run into the ground by now so he should be weaker than ever. But I mean, you could tell me Nintendo voters are in force this year and will vote for literally anything Nintendo and crush Noctis and it wouldn't surprise me that much either. Don't mistake the high percentage for high confidence.

Noctis with 62.78%

Monika v Wario
I think Wario is a roadblock that will be up to the task to stop any rally from getting momentum out of the gate. The Doki reddit isn't very big, and while the reddit is actively encouraging to rally, Monika is likely dirt weak without any rally force. Keep in mind that Draven, had he faced Wario in round 1 a few years back, probably would've been stopped cold, as his non rallied strength (from a much bigger reddit) was below that of Chie Satonaka. I imagine Monika will be at that or weaker, and Wario is significantly stronger than Jak or Chie so I mean, yeah, it's not going to be trivial. I also think that any sort of round 1 rally is more likely to be mostly legitimate and not straight cheating as outside forces are going to have less time to figure out how to crack the system. So yeah Wario gonna win.

Wario with 64.49%
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