LogFAQs > #910718200

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TopicKP's (In-Depth) 2018 Contest Analysis
KanzarisKelshen
10/17/18 11:43:33 PM
#428:


KamikazePotato posted...
NeoElfboy posted...
and you seem to be putting way too much stock in a 2010->2013 drop despite a format change),

I would say that, far more than the format change, the change in strength of FF7 character has to do with lowered vote totals. FF7 has always done better the higher the vote totals there. You can tell by the anti-votes they get that the core GameFAQs base doesn't like as much as the 'casual' voters.

Or just an opinion shift. Look at these:

https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/1443-which-final-fantasy-title-is-your-all-time-favorite
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/5727-from-the-last-27-years-which-numbered-final-fantasy-title-is
https://gamefaqs.gamespot.com/poll/6872-which-final-fantasy-title-is-your-all-time-favorite

Even GameFAQs changes it's opinion over time.


I think it's got to do with our lessened votals, yeah

Like I don't think Chrono Trigger does that well in BGE if our votals stop being pathetic, for instance. Voting trends in Mario/Crono matches over time always point towards higher poll numbers favoring Mario because only so many people played CT. One of these days I have to sit down and track what kind of upward trend we have in votals as a contest gets closer to the end so I can guesstimate how many votes Melee/CT got in BGE 2015 over the average expected value for its round, because if we say we got 27k extra votes there (comparing how CT did in the previous round to that match), this means CT only managed to get 5k out of like, 27k extra votes, a little less than 20% - which means its 'true strength' was already around 30k votes or so and couldn't go much higher. Too many data points point that way for me to feel comfortable backing Crono in Crono/Cloud unless our votals are at like, 20k or something. It really sucks that it feels like we're predicting how hardcore a fanbase is these days, over how big it is.
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