From: Dr_Football | #004
it is always 25%, since its always 4 people competing. your odds never improve or decline
Even assuming you have a 25% chance each round (which is untrue for char's reasoning), he means the odds of making it through during the course of the show at all.
From: Xuxon | #003
If you're asking what I think you're asking, 1 - .75^x
And this would be correct, assuming an even 25% chance each round. Which, again, is itself untrue, but the quickest way to approximate it.
--
"One toot on this whistle will take you to a far away land."
-Toad, SMB3