Based on Squall/Sora 2008 R3, Sora wins with 51.04%. That would give him a win of around 1000 votes.
I've never seen the actual results differ from the projection by more than 1% this late into the match (15 hours), so it's looking real bad for Squall. He better hope the ASV really has weakened a lot.
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2002 Link, 2003 Cloud, 2004 Link, 2005 Link, 2006 Link, 2008 Link, 2010 Link, 2011 Cloud.
Link 6, Cloud 2