But yeah, my travels through Umineko went something like this:
Episode 1: Magic exists?
Episode 2: Magic exists.
Episode 3: *understands the concept of a fantasy scene* Wait, magic DOESN'T exist
Episode 4: scrambling and failing to solve stuff
After that I tried solving things a little more, but I was never anywhere near as good at is as everyone else.
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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.