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TopicFinal Fantasy Music Contest (FFMC) Predictions, Results & Discussion Topic
Toxtricity
11/15/21 2:29:53 PM
#87:


on the "1 seeds all losing" topic: in vgmc we haven't used nomination-based seeding since vgmc5(2011) for a REASON (this sort of nonsense happened in every contest from 1-5. what does well in terms of tracks with a dedicated tiny fanbase enough to break the nom barrier, correlates none at all with what'll win in a 1v1 setting)

but I also think what uf8 said is an even bigger factor. in the 1v16 matches specifically, these 16 seeds arguably went through a more rigorous process to be allowed in the contest. they had to win 3-way or 4-way matches to make it in. on top of already getting enough votes to be liked enough to be at least border-line.

the losing high seeds were mostly niche songs liked by dedicated slivers of nominators who'd be more excited about the rarer tracks that deviate from convention. and those are getting stomped by more widely-popular stuff that actually had to go through a more rigorous process to get in. it's not a particularly expectation-subverting result in any of these cases, and it shouldn't be reacted to as if the underdog winning is what's going on---the underdogs are these high seeds that are expectedly losing. imo.

(being on the side who nommed a lot of stuff that got high seeds only because of them standing out to a small group of people---knowing full well they wouldn't be widely popular with most of the participants, it is a bit upsetting to see it reacted to if those unusual picks were the expected winners and are being beaten by 'underdogs')
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