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TopicBoth political parties take 8 year turns in office unless theres a major fuck up
Doom_Art
11/13/20 9:39:31 AM
#6:


I prefer looking at Presidential cycles in the very long term (40-50 years)

- Cycle starts with a unifier following a period of discord. A consensus candidate who alters how the public interacts with the government. (FDR/Reagan)

- Then we get a "chosen successor". Someone closely aligned with the unifier who basically runs on continuing their work. (Truman/Bush Sr)

- Then the opposition party gets their shit together and moderates/incorporates the new "consensus view" into their political orthodoxy (Eisenhower/Clinton)

- The political groups who grew from the unifiers philosophy make a comeback, though there's signs their governing coalition is starting to weaken and fray (Kennedy and LBJ/George Bush Jr)

- A dynamic candidate from the opposition party emerges and begins proposing a new "consensus view", though this prompts strong backlash. (Nixon and Ford/Obama)

- A candidate representing the dominant political consensus is rushed into power on the backlash to the previous candidate. They and their party find themselves woefully incapable of holding their coalition together or applying their consensus view to solving a national crisis. (Carter/Trump?)

I prefer this outlook since it's more flexible than the "8 years in 8 years out"


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