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TopicElection Stats and Discussion - Part 2
red sox 777
11/06/20 11:55:06 AM
#150:


Overnight Biden took the lead in Pennsylvania and Georgia. Biden's lead now stands just under 9000 in PA. Looks like there is about 85k in mail vote left to count, not including 35k in Allegheny that may or may not be duplicate ballots. Not clear how many of the remaining mail ballots were not counted because they were rejected. Many counties have had a few hundred or a few thousand left to count for a long time, after doing big drops.

And we have another county's provisional votes come in! Tioga County just reported:

Trump 229
Biden 68
Jorgensen 2

That's 76.7% of the Trump/Biden votes for Trump, which is a little above the overall Trump percentage for Tioga County, and a few points below his election day percentage. Where the real test for the provisionals will be is when we see a big blue or swing county come in - Trump won the election day vote in every county in Pennsylvania except Philadelphia, so if the provisionals come in here his election day percentages statewide, we may have ourselves a match.

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