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TopicElection Stats and Discussion - Part 2
red sox 777
11/05/20 5:51:39 PM
#129:


At this point I am just not seeing how Trump can hold off this Biden surge in PA with the mail-in ballots. I projected Biden +20k last night and everything I've seen today is consistent with that. Trump is running out of lead with which to work.

Apparently provisional ballots have not been counted yet. As in, they haven't started counting them yet anywhere in PA, and probably anywhere in GA. That's a wild card which is good for the underdog. Normally I'd expect provisional ballots to be pretty strongly blue, but if casting a provisional ballot is predicated on showing up at a polling place, well Trump dominated the in-person voting, so maybe, just maybe, he can win them. At this point the more unknown factors the better Trump's chances are.

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