LogFAQs > #946087801

adjl posted...

Polls are all well and good, but they're still not conclusive and everyone needs to get out and vote, rather than assuming they don't need to because of how the polls look.

This is even more worthless than a poll. It's betting odds gleaned from polls, condensing and simplifying the numbers from every state and all of the polls there into one single numerical value for the entire country.

It's an inkling based off a guesstimate based off a survey.

ParanoidObsessive posted...

"On the eve of the 2016 election, the site's forecast gave Hillary Clinton a 71% chance of winning and Donald Trump a 29% chance."

Yeah, I wish 538 would quit doing this shit.
Why isn't doing polling by state enough, why do they have to make ass clowns out of themselves w/ such generalized bs?
It's actively harmful. In 2016, we saw it make a lot of people complacent and it resulted in horrific damage to the country.
I've lost all of my respect for 538. Not for being off a bit in the polling, but b/c just like that Crossfire program, they're "hurting America".