LogFAQs > #939972612

I would have said yes back in January/February, but ever since then, the needle has shifted in favor of the democrats. Still plenty of time for the needle to shift back, but I am more skeptical about his chances now.

Of course... many of the models said Trump would win if democratic turnout was about average/less than average, and that could always happen. Between Republicans and democrats, I could definitely see democrats being the ones more affected by the current events to make it where they don't go out and vote like some would project. It's hard to say, though. If Trump can pressure state governments to implement rules that restrict alternative ways to vote, he could save his reelection campaign through that as well. Even if it is unconstitutional, it would be too late by the time it makes it to the courts to probably make a difference.

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