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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
Master Moltar
05/03/20 9:59:41 AM
#321:


And thus, we reach the X-Factor, or in this case, the L-Factoh god XDXDXDXD I couldn't even finish the joke without losing it that's how good it was *wipes away tear* oh boy, hope you guys appreciated that one. Product of many hours, that one was. Woooo boy. There's really not a whole lot I can write about L-Block, seeing as how he's just one big, right angled enigma. He shocked us in round one, did so again in round two, and then overperformed in round three. However, I'm still gonna go with the Noble Nine for little more reason than they're the Noble Nine.

Guess I'll take blocky to beat Squall. \m/

Solid Snake - 30%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 26%
L-Block - 23%
Squall Leonhart - 21%

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Ropen's Write-up

I think the Stupid Ass Tetris Piece is going to die, here. When the going gets tough, the joke voters won't be devoted enough to the cause of the piece. Contrary to Master Chief's vote minimum, I think the Tetris Piece's is going to abandon it when it gets too far. There's a point where a joke just stops being funny. When does the Tetris Piece become beating a dead horse? Even without that, though, Sonic and Snake might just get too much anyway. If they both get 30%, the piece is as good as done.

Waah, waah, Master Chief is a joke, you say! Hush, suckas! Can't bring me down! Permit me this hate... in this moment of triumph... ha ha ha ha.... HA HA HA HA... the death of the Tetris Piece!

Okay, okay... about the rest of this match. Oh, spying the competition I see that Sonic seemed a bit weak in the previous round! Is it enough to be defeated by Mr. Whatever here? I'm not going to bet on that. As I said before, I don't think the fanbases of the pretty boy and Sora shared much membership. And heck, we've seen weird things... fishy things happen between MGS and FF before. If anything, that Renzoukuken spamming freak is going to be hurt more by Snake's presence than he was by Sora's, as crazy as that sounds.

Though I don't think he's gonna just die, not a bit. The one named after weather has some backbone in his fanbase, no doubt. In addition I don't think that he's going to be hurting Snake much either. I'm just sayin, don't expect him to go crazy without Sora here, I just don't think it's gonna happen. Sonic beat him in the previous round, and I'm not seein a reason that's gonna change this time around. Of course, Sonic might have it in him to upset Snake here... but Snake has been more impressive for the most part, so I'm gonna have to just stick with him. No big reason to doubt him now.

Now I'm gonna shape my write-up as a boot to kick the Tetris Piece's ass. No support here in this write-up, none. Aw yeah goin down end of tracks die die die.

Ropen's Prediction:
Snake - 28.67%
Sonic the Hedgehog - 26.62%
... whatever - 24.37%
Stupid Ass Tetris Piece - 20.34%

____________________________________________________________________________

Karma Hunters Analysis

One more cell phone writeup! What a way to spend a car trip...

SOLID SNAKE

Going from two of the most dominating performances of the contest to letting L-BLOCK lead you for half the night isn't exactly inspiring, but with Solid **** it's almost expected. The key word being 'almost'... Snake could have used a better performance, even considering a probable rebound today.

L-BLOCK

But you can't give the crap all the credit, or even most of it... our little star of the contest is aiming for the finals at this point. With an intense loyalty that only the widest joke in the contest could garner and user pictures sure to flatter it, can it be stopped?

SONIC THE HEDGEHOG

And suddenly Sonic looks more vulnerable than he has yet, as Squall nearly beats him with Sora in the poll. If he can do that, what's to stop him from winning outright this time... to say nothing of L-BLOCK?

SQUALL LEONHART

And Squall has his own demons to worry about - particularly Solid Snake, with whom he is encountering for the THIRD time. He held up admirably last time, but does that really discount overlap? Can he upend Sonic and join Vincent as the NN breaker he was born to be?

The most unpredictable match of the round, and arguably the contest. If you haven't been paying attention (or if you're *sigh* red13n) it seems like Snake and Sonic are mortal locks to advance... but mortal locks don't slip past their opponents by respective 4 and 2 percent margins, especially in THIS format. And ESPECIALLY with a damn Tetris piece in the match.

There are too many arguments to count, too many possible outcomes, too many possibilities. Snake and Sonic splitting the SSB vote and letting L-Block in first? One of them getting a decisive advantage with it and leaving the other in the dust (and L-Block to pick up the pieces)? Squall slipping in without Sora holding him back? Snake and Squall holding each other back and eliminating each other?

Honestly. If you ask me, I'm gonna even put aside fanboyism and simply state:

The picture.

Yes, the most volatile, debated, and unpredictable factor there is. And while arguing wholly from it is something that most statheads are loathe to do, it's all I feel I can even partially rely on. The SFF and loyalty issues seem too volatile (imagine the shock if L drops below 20 percent...), enough to change, again, even with a picture (see: Ganon/Luigi).

And seeing as how I won't be seeing any of that, I'm forced to speculate. Probably for the best. And so I'll stick with two things: fanboyism (and the strongest character), and the damn little block I expect to make the finals at this rate.

Karma Hunter's Vote: blah blah snake blah blah metal gear blah
KARMA HUNTER'S KRAZY PREDICTION: Solid Snake with 29, L-Block with 28, Sonic with 23, Squall with 20

...ick

Upset Probability: 90 percent

GOOD LORD
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Moltar Status: hype
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