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TopicGame of the Decade: 2010-2019 Contest Analysis Crew - Part 5
Master Moltar
05/03/20 1:52:48 AM
#313:


~*Posts from the Crew Archive*~

Division 7: Round 1 - Match 25 Kirby vs. L-Block vs. Laharl vs. Nathan Hale

Moltars Analysis

Kirby
Game/Series Known From: Kirby
Seed in 2002: 14
Seed in 2003: 3
Seed in 2004: 5
Seed in 2005: 1
Seed in 2006: 3
Lost in 2002 to Jill in Round 1
Lost in 2003 to Alucard in Round 2
Lost in 2004 to Squall in the Round 2
Lost in 2005 to Bowser in Round 3
Lost in 2006 to Luigi in Round 2

Awesome character alert!

L-Block
Game/Series Known From: Tetris

I guess anyone can get in.

Laharl
Game/Series Known From: Disgaea
Seed in 2004: 9
Seed in 2005: 6
Lost in 2004 to Vyse in Round 1
Lost in 2005 to Yoshi in Round 1

Our favorite uber-obscure RPG character makes his return.

Nathan
Game/Series Known From: Resistance: Fall of Man

More like Nathan FAIL

This is awesome. So far, 4/5 of my favorite characters will have advanced to Round 2 so far, with the last getting his chance later. Who are they? Cookie to anyone who knows!

Anyway, one of those 4 is Kirby. Hes pretty much guaranteed to take the top spot here, so no need to worry about him. Theres also Nathan, who would almost be classified as one of those generic nobodies from some casual game no one cares for. Only thing is that hes the lead character in Resistance: Fall of Sony, which is the top selling PS3 game at 8 copies. Too bad GameFAQs doesnt care for PS3 (yet) and Resistance, so we know Nathan is going to bomb.

The most debate in this match comes from.and I cant believe Im saying thisL-Block vs. Laharl. Seriously, Laharl is so weak that we question his ability to take out a Tetris piece. He should have been done with his loss to Vyse. You dont go anywhere if you lose to Vyse.

Anyway, Laharl supporters are saying, Hes an actual character. No one actually likes a Tetris block, and he wont get enough joke votes to take second. Well, as a person who has L-Block winning, and thought it was downright silly to take Matt the Mii to Round 2, Im thinking that L-Block doesnt even need to depend on joke votes for second.

Stick with me here. Laharl has a small, yet devoted base to pull from, but thats about it. Then we have Tetris, a game that everyone has played. L-Block has all those people to pull from. Of course, with Kirby being a fan favorite, a good chunk of its support is gone right there. Still, I believe that L-Block will get votes just because its Tetris, and people like Tetris.

Moltars Bracket Says: Kirby > L-Block > Laharl > Nathan

Moltars Prediction is: Kirby: 52% - L-Block: 22% - Laharl: 19% - Nathan: 7%

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Ultimaterializers Analysis

Kirby is the obvious first-place here, and the other three characters (<_<) are such fodder that it's difficult to predict who will take second place.

Nathan Hale is the flagship PS3 character, so it's a safe bet to assume he takes last place. That leaves it up to L-Block and Laharl, and I won't pretend to be objective here. I want Laharl to win so I can claim one of my favorite characters has a contest win under his belt. And I'm writing this match during Matt the Mii's collapse, so I don't think L-Block has the fad power going for it.

Ulti's Prediction:

Kirby [63.00%]
Laharl [20.00%]
L-Block [10.00%]
Nathan [7.00%]

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Heroic Marios Analysis

Kirby 48%
L-Block 22%
Laharl 21%
Nathan Hale 9%


Get a load of this fourpack of winners. This actually may be one of the worst matches of the first round, because who cares about any of these guys -- not me!

But the fact that were going to get to see L-Block perform in a contest has some entertainment to it, even if the odds are its going to suck hard -- and that horrible picture it got isnt going to help matters. Im not sure how many people are actually taking the L-Block to win this match, but whoever does clearly knows whats up! Screw Laharl!

Im not sure what exactly to say about this match, though. Kirbys got a good range here because his competition is horrific -- Laharl is fodder, L-Block is fodder and Nathan Hale might just be this contests Tanner. Still, its hard to see him doing anything like 60% here just because weve seen noble nine characters go up against some crappy competition and barely manage above 55%.

Second place may seem up in the air, but Id be pretty confident in saying that Laharls probably going to take it, even Im not predicting it to happen! Hes got the hardcore fanbase backing him and hes the most independent of all the characters here. I wouldnt be too surprised if he took it pretty easy.

But, uh, go go go L-Block!!

Bracket: Kirby > L-Block
Vote: L-Block

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Yoblazers Analysis

Here's yet another match where the winner is clear as can be and any and all excitement will be generated by the two saps dueling it out for second. In this case, Kirby is the clear winner. He's an upper midcarder with some great performances under his belt, and he's up against three guaranteed turd-y fodder.

Kirby's hapless lambs to the slaughter are the L-Block from Tetris, Disgaea's Laharl, and Nathan Hale from Resistance: Fall of Man, the PS3's launch killer app. Generally, staring in a launch killer app would mean nothing but good contest news, but such isn't really the case for Nathan Hale. His game may be popular with people who've played it, but it's on the PS3, which automatically means that a vast, vast majority of the site hasn't even touched it. That, added with the fact that he's very generic and has a bland character design, and you have a guy who's destined to be one of the weakest entrants in the entire bracket. Maybe your game should have been released for the PS2, Nathan. >_>

The Resistance guy will finish in a distant fourth, Kirby will finish in a distant first, so L-Block and Laharl will battle it out to see who gets to be the top piece of bologna in this weird sandwich (hehehehoho). I have L-Block in my bracket and was feeling very good about it at the start of the contest, but my faith has slowly dwindled. The only three non-Pokemon joke characters (Midgar Zolom, CATS, and Matt) have universally bombed, and that doesn't spell good news for our angular friend. True, his potential is greater than that of Laharl's, but the RPG star already has a guaranteed voting block of niche fans who will give him support. We're not sure if the same can be said of the block.

Regardless, I'll stick with my bracket. Despite his niche fanbase, Laharl is still an extremely weak character, and the only time we've seen him was in a 2004 match with 68,000 total votes. How is he going to perform when that number is almost doubled? We have no idea, but I doubt it will be stellar. Also, unlike some of the other joke characters, I'm just hoping that people will appreciate the sheer audacity of ZANINESS of a Tetris Block in the contest (appreciate it enough to vote for it, that is!). God, I'd feel so much better about this if L-Block's picture didn't suck so much. I have no idea how you pulled it off, Bacon, but... uhh... why?

Kirby - 50%
L-Block - 22%
Laharl - 20%
Nathan Hale - 8%
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Moltar Status: hype
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
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