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Topic | Are you afraid the the coronavirus? |
wolfy42 03/15/20 5:40:38 AM #18: | New info is out and the numbers are pretty bad, even in China things are turning for the worse (number of critical/severe cases vs mild have drastically risen. It seems like it may have mutated, but if you already got it, your safe (so you were I guess lucky??). Currently in China there are about 11,000 cases (there were almost 10x that in the past), but of the cases left in China 30% are critical or severe, 70% are mild. Previously in china there was a 5% death rate (95% recovered, 5% died). So it's a massive difference. Italy is has had 20k total cases, of which 3400 have closed (either recovered or died). Of those closed 42% dead.....1441 deaths total as of 2 hours ago. Of those current cases that have not closed 91% are mild and 9% care critical or severe, so it looks like ttey are hopefully getting a handle on it, but we are still looking at possibly a 10% mortality rate (of course over all it wlll be higher then that due to the initial 42%). China is larger then the us, but when it hit.....the mortality rate seems to have been much lower. If we get hit with the current strain, it could lead to a death rate over 10% and possibly over 15%. Also it's not just the elderly, in fact in Italy they are not treating those who are old and/or have previous conditions (you know, like me), so they can treat the younger patients who have a better chance of recovering. --- Agatha "Your naked and they are nuns, it's not your eyes they're not looking at." Glowing Elephant "Stonehedge was a sex thing." ... Copied to Clipboard! |
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