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TopicPolitics Containment Topic 271: Two Turds With One Stone
KamikazePotato
02/21/20 12:07:40 AM
#84:


So, I took the polls I listed and estimated how many total delegates each candidate will receive from them (with the two already-finished states' results added in).

Sanders - 558 (37.99%)
Biden - 403 (27.43%)
Bloomberg - 293 (19.95%)
Warren - 105 (7.15%)
Klobuchar - 66 (4.49%)
Buttigieg - 29 (1.97%)
Steyer - 15 (1.02%)
Gabbard - 0

Might see if there's polls for some of the other major delegate states and factor those in. Looking like a brokered convention at the moment.

P.S. These results are the 'worst case' for Sanders. I assumed that Biden reaches viability in California (only candidate other than Sanders that did) and that Sanders doesn't manage to reach viability in Florida. Either of those aspects reversing tips the scales significantly in Sanders' favor.

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Black Turtle did a pretty good job.
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