LogFAQs > #929133656

there's been better data collected on transgendered person murder rates than "some youtuber googled 'trans percent of population' and compared FBI crime data statistics, and we should trust his argument because it reinforces beliefs we already had"

since there is uncertainty in both "whether a murder victim who was transgendered was identified as such by the FBI" and "how many people are transgendered, or are trans in ways reflective of the victims of murder are", data confidence ranges have to be established

here's a study that attempts to establish data ranges:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5551594/

and here's one that identifies some further uncertainty not considered by the first, which advises caution about how to interpret some of its results:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5551619/

the tldr is consistent with what sonicfan posted earlier: black/latin transfem people have significantly higher murder rates than black/latina cisfem people

white people in general have much lower murder rates which means the noise is likely too great to make clear extrapolations about white transfem people--even a handful of miscounted cases would significantly alter the results.

what we should definitely not be doing is relying on google results like "how many people are trans" and 'how many murder victims are trans', assuming those numbers have negligible uncertainty, and drawing conclusions on that basis alone. if it seems too easy that's because it is too easy.

and if you trust a youtube video over published research, you're probably not interested in the truth
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