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TopicMy AI predicts these are the future prices of bitcoin
Yellow
08/31/19 5:32:18 AM
#22:


I've found that long-term memory NNs don't take into account long-term "inflation" very well. Aka, a currency that was $5 a year ago, worth $100 today, completely throws off everything the NN knows about the currency, causing it to predict a random value between $5 and $100. This is because it's predicting absolute values, with no sense of relativity. In our minds, the pattern may carry over, but in this NN 200 is a different dimension than 20.

The goal here is not to predict the exact values, it's to predict the value relative to the previous value.

The solution might be to generate a dataset that has the values in differences by percentage points. instead of

100, 100, 200, 150

it could be

n/a, 100%, 200%, 75%

This would eliminate the factor of inflation. It makes me think that a any proper NN should always be used to predict relative values, never absolute ones. That makes more sense, a real human always thinks in relative terms.

Sardanapallus posted...
Yellow posted...
If humans can do it, a neural network can do it.


Not really, no. If that were true the world would look very different right now.

And if it is possible the world will possibly look very different in the future.
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