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Topic~*Ultimaterializer's Post-Contest Analysis!! Part 2*~
Ulti_PCA
12/24/18 2:07:17 AM
#283:


garetha200 posted...
Yeah but he also blew out Sonic in '06

And he beat him even worse this time, by a nontrivial margin

So something happened, and it being a stronger Snake is unlikely. So it's a Sonic drop or a very large amount of random variance.

12 years is a long time man.

Also I'll get around to 2008 eventually. Didn't do a PCA that year out of disgust for fourways. I fucking hate them.

Division 2 Quarterfinal: (3)Yoshi vs (6)Velvet Crowe

(3)Yoshi - 21148 [70.63%]
(6)Velvet Crowe - 8796 [29.37%]
Total Votes - 29944
Prediction Percentage - 77.57%

Yoshi wins a match and gets Velvet Crowe for a round 2 opponent. Knuckles goes 8-1 in round 1 over the years and gets nothing but noble niners and near elites. I don't get it. And no, I am never letting this go until Knuckles wins one in round 2. Thanks for asking. I'm looking at some of these round 2 beatdowns these year just shaking my head.

In the 2015 games contest, I made a list of 1v1 matches in round 2 or later where the winner broke 80%. It can be found here: https://board8.wikia.com/wiki/(1)Chrono_Trigger_vs_(8)Dragon_Quest_VIII:_Journey_of_the_Cursed_King_2015

I really don't feel like doing that level of research with 70% as the threshold instead of 80, but I can't imagine it would be a much bigger list. These contests naturally have closer margins as you get later. It's just the normal way of things. For a character or game to break 70%, you need two things to happen unless we're talking about weird SFF stuff. One, you need an elite, near-elite, or upper midcarder in the winner's spot. Yoshi qualifies. And two, you need the other half of your fourpack to be abject garbage. I should note that Velvet got 61% in her round 1 match.

So yeah this was just a forgettable beatdown en route to Yoshi getting back to where he always goes, and I love him for it. I'm one of those knuckleheads who always votes for Yoshi in those favorite Mario character polls. Love the dude. Always have.
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